In the Pacific, forecasters are watching five systems, including Hurricane Iona and Tropical Storm Keli. Iona has strengthened into a major hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph about 790 miles south-southeast of Honolulu, Hawaii.

It’s been a quiet start to the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, but all that could change dramatically as we head into the first part of August.

While environmental conditions were marginally conducive for some development, forecasters said development would be slow and the wave is expected to hit conditions that will be unfavorable in the coming days. As of Monday morning, the system had a 20% chance of becoming a tropical depression or storm in the next seven days.

There's some good news in the tropics: All is quiet, even though there are four tropical waves out there, including three in the Caribbean. What's more, no tropical disturbances are expected to develop over the next seven days, according to the National Hurricane Center.

Hurricane season stretches six months from June through November, but there is a distinct peak in activity that ramps up beginning in August and lasting into October because of several factors in the atmosphere and ocean.

A tropical wave moving across the Atlantic Ocean has no chance of further development as environmental conditions became more unfavorable, forecasters with the National Hurricane Center in Miami said Tuesday morning. Forecasters sent their final update on the disturbance at 1 a.m. Tuesday.

As we discussed in Friday’s newsletter, the Atlantic is beginning its pivot into the traditionally busiest 6-week stretch of the hurricane season.

The Atlantic hurricane season is off to a fast start with three named systems by the beginning of July; Andrea developed in the central Atlantic Ocean, Barry grew off the coast of Belize and traveled into Mexico, and Chantal brought devastating flooding to North Carolina and is responsible for five deaths in the state.

Saharan dust may be chipping away at the current tropical system, but experts say it usually winds down before August.

The area of low pressure in the Atlantic is fizzling out, forecasters said, but we'll see some rain. Meanwhile, a new tropical wave has developed.